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NO WAY? IN THE TOP 5 OF THE BRASILEIRÃO, FLAMENGO IS THE FURTHEST ONE FROM WINNING THE CHAMPIONSHIP

According to statistical data, Mengão does not have as many chances of taking the lead in the competition until the end of the rounds, but the possibility of getting a place in the Libertadores has increased.

Flamengo / Disclosure
Flamengo / Disclosure

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Flamengo's chances of winning the Brazilian Championship are very low, according to a study. There are 12 games left until the end of the competition by points, and Mais Querido finished the 26th round in fifth place, with 44 points, tied with Palmeiras (4th) and Grêmio (3rd). However, there is a positive point: a place in Libertadores 2024 is almost guaranteed.

'Globo Esporte' partnered with economist Bruno Imaizumi to develop a study that statistically proved the chances of each of the Brasileirão clubs of winning the championship, as well as getting a place in the Libertadores and even be relegated to the second division.

The extensive research carried out by the Espião Estatístico group analyzed all shots recorded in 4,058 games in the competition in the last ten years, since 2013, which served as a parameter to measure current productivity of the teams in attack and defense based on the expected goal. Thus, it was possible to create an equation that measured each team's chances of winning in the remaining 12 games. 10 thousand simulations were carried out for each of the 120 games that still remain, which gave the results presented by GE.

With this Sunday's victory (08) over Fluminense, Botafogo managed to establish its chances of winning the title at around 80%. Second place on the leaderboard and in this ranking is Bragantino, which has a 9.4% chance of winning. The interesting thing in this top 4 is Palmeiras and Grêmio who, at the moment, are in 4th and 3rd place respectively, but, according to the research, the São Paulo team has a better chance of reaching 1st place (4.1%) than the gaucho tricolor (2.8%).
Flamengo presents a disappointing value: 1.1% chance of being the 2023 Brazilian Champion. The positive values ​​possible to please the red and black fans are related to the chance of remaining in Series A , which is 100%, and the chance of getting a place in the Libertadores, which is 63.9%, but in the G6.
However, the chance of being in the top four is not that great. According to the researchers, Mais Querido has a 65.2% chance of being left out of the G-4. At the moment, the Flamengo board's plan is to be able to participate in the continental competition in 2024, as the entire year 2023 was a failure for the club.
The team's next commitment for the Brasileirão is after the FIFA Date, on October 19th (Thursday) against Cruzeiro.



Soccer

"Respect is the feeling..." Flamengo has Tite's words echoed behind the scenes with the fans

The club has a different point of view from the coach

Internet/Flamengo
Internet/Flamengo

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In an interview given after the defeat of Flamengoto Peñarol, 1-0, coach Tite was direct in responding to the boos received by the fans. The statement, marked by a frank tone, exposed the coach's pragmatic vision in relation to demanding fans and the pressure for results. “I respect the fans’ feelings. Of course I feel that (the boos), I'm human”, said Tite, recognizing the fans' frustration in the face of the setback.

Tite's speech reveals that he understands the role of fans as a fundamental part in the context of a club, especially in a team of great expression like Flamengo. By mentioning that the boos affect him as a human being, the coach demonstrates empathy, but does not fail to highlight that the only way to reverse this situation is with achievements on the field. “It can only be reversed in one way”, pointed out the coach.

THE MISTAKE THAT COSTED EXTREMELY DEARLY 

The response reflects the experience of Titein dealing with pressure who follows the command of great teams in Brazilian football. With successful spells at clubs such as Corinthians, Grêmio and the Brazilian national team itself, the coach has a track record that puts him in a position to understand, perhaps like few others, the relationship between performance on the field and fans' expectations. For him, this connection is clear: “Do you know how to win fans? Do you know how I won over the fans of the other clubs I played for? Win an important title”, he declared.

The phrase highlights the centrality of titles in football, especially in mass clubs like Flamengo. In Brazil, the culture of results is intense, and Tite recognizes that fans have a limited tolerance for negative results. Winning titles, for him, is the key to gaining the support of the fans, and anything other than that results in discontent: “If not, bye.”

This last part of Tite's speech summarizes the characteristic impatience of demanding fans like Flamengo. The coach makes it clear that, without obtaining relevant trophies, the relationship with the fans deteriorates quickly. The pressure is constant and is part of the daily life of those who take on the leadership of top teams. Tite seems, however, to be aware of this scenario and how it needs to be faced.



Soccer

Flamengo fans flock to Tite's comments on social media after the defeat

The club has its greatest moment of inconstancy

Internet/Flamengo
Internet/Flamengo

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Tite's statement came after a delicate moment for Flamengo. The defeat to Peñarol, at home, in a group stage match of the Copa Libertadores, raised alarm bells for fans and the coaching staff. Flamengo had high expectations for the season, especially after major reinforcements and the arrival of Tite, a coach with wide recognition on the national and international scene.

The pressure on Flamengo is nothing new. The club, which has one of the biggest fans in the world, is known for its high expectations for titles. The expensive squad, made up of renowned players, also increases this demand. Each stumble is widely covered by the media and amplifies the dissatisfaction of part of the fans, who demand immediate results.

CAN IT GO BAD AT THE MOMENT?

The Copa Libertadores, in particular, has a important meaning for Flamengo and its fans. The continental tournament is seen as one of the club's main objectives each season. Any result other than victory can generate dissatisfaction and pressure on the technical committee, as occurred after the setback against Peñarol.

In this context, Tite's speech not only recognizes the fans' dissatisfaction, but also is realistic in relation to what is expected from a club like Flamengo. The demand for titles is part of the package when taking over a club of this size, and the coach seems to be aware of this when he points out that he will only be able to win the support of the fans with significant victories.



Soccer

Botafogo owner returns to refute Rodolfo Landim's statements about financial fair play

The president of Flamengo has criticized Botafogo's high investment in several interviews

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Reproduction

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After the draw at Nilton Santos, John Textor, owner of SAF do Botafogo, spoke about the problems with Julio Casares, president of São Paulo. He defended that the two have a good relationship and also cited recent statements by Rodolfo Landim, Flamengo's president, who has criticized Alvinegro's high investments.

"I really appreciate that Julio [Casares] is here tonight. He was one of the first to welcome me to Brazil in a very good way. I know you are all reporting a lot of conversations about everything that happened last year, or maybe not happened, about fair play issues. It's important for people to understand that presidents can still be friends, they can be very civil with each other, they can advocate for their public policy views. As a friend, I would say it was great to see you here. We gave each other a big hug because we hadn't seen each other in a long time. In the Libra days, he was one of the people who welcomed me best."


"We are building an organization, a team. we are spending considerably less than what the fair play law says about 75% of our income on sales and player salaries. I think the Landimthe other day said that we needed to have rules because places like Brazil don't have these rules, if an investor comes and takes advantage of the fact that we don't have the rules. But we are in full agreement with all definitions of financial fair play around the world. I was the first to talk about it. I said if we don't do something about the salary cap and invite foreign investment, it will come from sovereign wealth nations with money and oil, then we really have a problem. I'm a lawyer for financial fair play."


Casares has already had fights with the owner of SAF do Glorioso amid accusations of match-fixing for the 2023 Brazilian Championship. The feud, however, remained in the background given the great repercussion of Textor's clashes with Leila Pereira, president of Palmeiras, the board of Tricolor São Paulo took action against the owner of SAF do Botafogo in several legal spheres.

In relation to. Landim, the president of Flamengo, has criticized Botafogo's high investment in several interviews. He argues that Brazil needs financial fair play to stop the money from SAFs.



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